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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-02-28T11:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-02-28T11:12Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-03-04T00:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-02-28T17:42Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 450
Longitude (deg): W006
Latitude (deg): S25
Half-angular width (deg): 40

Notes: Low confidence for accurate cone file parameters, due to partial masking of CME from other far-sided CME's in imagery.
Space weather advisor:

Lead Time: 68.50 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-03-01T03:30Z

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